Saturday, December 8, 2012

The Real GDP


                          INDIA’s Defines GDP----Get Rid of Downtrodden and Poor

World Bank,Standard and Poors, and other economic bodies  are predicting India’s GDP every month on certain parameters. S&P last issued a BBB- rating, with a stable outlook and recently it has gone further down.They have their own calculation methods. Some people say that India will rise in current financial year, others say that growth will decline and after analyzing all the calculations of Big Bodies India is contented that it will survive atleast. We have our own methods and these are classified, even Big Bodies are quite curious to know our methods to evaluate the growth pattern of our country. But, we have the intelligent workforce who is keen not to share our classified analysis pattern. Normally, GDP is considered as overall final value of goods and services produced within a country and to be excise it is calculated on the basis of purchase power parity (PPP) index. To calculate GDP on PPP Index, it is divided by average population of that particular nation that year.So, This is the universal criteria to calculate the growth pattern of any nation. Now, after following this criteria ,we calculated india’s Purchase Power Parity and our politicians and economists decided that a meager 32 rupees a day would be sufficient for Indian poors to survive. I mean if someone can afford this amount of big money i.e Rs. 32 per day, he would not be included in poor category. As per the records of percentage change/growth in GDP by different sectors during last financial year, the Public Sector (Education,Health and Public Administration) has contributed very less .

However, this is the general analysis of our economists and intelligent people. But somewhere, the real picture is hidden. These figures  are manipulated to show our false status to the big bodies so that our status is not effected in terms of our show off value. We still insist that we are doing good as compare to other nations of the world economy and figures below tell our growth pattern to outside world.

Country
1999
2000
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
5.5
6
4.3
8.3
6.2
8.4
9.2
9
7.4
7.4
10.4
7.2



But, in real terms all these figures include only 30% of upper population. From upper population, I mean people who are above average in terms of so called Purchasing Power Parity. We don’t mind to include people below average line. There is no place for poor to be counted for this useful data and figures. Our Thinkers of Growth hardly have time to count the real figures. There is a war within when we take on Consumer Price Index. It is very much difficult for Indian government to include such indexes for  calculation of growth patterns. We can debate for years when it comes to revise the Base Year for precise calculations.  We have lot of other things too to debate or think upon, so why to waste time on such meaningless points. In real terms, India defines GDP as Get Rid of Downtrodden and Poor from all the surveys, from all the data and from all calculations. That’s our real growth story. We will continue with the real analysis on our own parameters which are real and carry value and real importance while measuring our growth story. It’s just a start and we have the long way to go……………………………………..